Pending Home Sales Notch Record-Setting 44.3% Monthly Increase in May

A Historic Rebound for the Housing Market

A Historic Rebound for the Housing Market | MyKCM

Pending Home Sales increased by 44.3% in May, registering the highest month-over-month gain in the index since the National Association of Realtors (NAR) started tracking this metric in January 2001. So, what exactly are pending home sales, and why is this rebound so important?

According to NAR, the Pending Home Sales Index (PHS) is:

“A leading indicator of housing activity, measures housing contract activity, and is based on signed real estate contracts for existing single-family homes, condos, and co-ops. Because a home goes under contract a month or two before it is sold, the Pending Home Sales Index generally leads Existing-Home Sales by a month or two.”

In real estate, pending home sales is a key indicator in determining the strength of the housing market. As mentioned before, it measures how many existing homes went into contract in a specific month. When a buyer goes through the steps to purchase a home, the final one is the closing. On average, that happens about two months after the contract is signed, depending on how fast or slow the process takes in each state.

Why is this rebound important?

A Historic Rebound for the Housing Market | MyKCM

With the COVID-19 pandemic and a shutdown of the economy, we saw a steep two-month decline in the number of houses that went into contract. In May, however, that number increased dramatically (See graph below):This jump means buyers are back in the market and purchasing homes right now. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR mentioned:

“This has been a spectacular recovery for contract signings and goes to show the resiliency of American consumers and their evergreen desire for homeownership…This bounce back also speaks to how the housing sector could lead the way for a broader economic recovery.”

But in order to continue with this trend, we need more houses for sale on the market. Yun continues to say:

“More listings are continuously appearing as the economy reopens, helping with inventory choices…Still, more home construction is needed to counter the persistent underproduction of homes over the past decade.”

A Historic Rebound for the Housing Market | MyKCM

As we move through the year, we’ll see an increase in the number of houses being built. This will help combat a small portion of the inventory deficit. The lack of overall inventory, however, is still a challenge, and it is creating an opportunity for homeowners who are ready to sell. As the graph below shows, during the last 12 months, the supply of homes for sale has been decreasing year-over-year and is not keeping up with the demand from homebuyers.

Bottom Line

If you decided not to sell this spring due to the health crisis, maybe it’s time to jump back into the market while buyers are actively looking for homes. Let’s connect today to determine your best move forward.


A Look At Selling Real Estate During Covid-19

Laurel Murphy Real Estates most recent listing reflects what regional market updates are reporting. With low inventory levels, my owners had no competition within their neighborhood at the time of listing their home located as 13305 Burnt Woods Place Germantown, MD 20874
With the neighborhood average 38 DOM the owners priced the house with in the range of the 90 day sold price history. This listing went on late Friday night and was ratified for full list price by Sunday. Being aware of local real estate trends and knowing how to interpret market data is vital to successfully selling your house in the shortest amount of time for the most amount of money.

Washington D.C. and Baltimore Metro areas felt the effect of COVID-19 with the lowest April volume of new listings in ten years, while also reaching a record monthly median sales price and ten-year low for days on market.BrightMLS

  • The DC Metro hit a new median sales price high ($507K) and a decade low for median days on market (7). Homes generally sold at 100.0% of asking price.
  • This April had the month’s lowest volume of new listings in the past ten years, as many potential new sellers opted to hold back listing their properties until after the “stay at home” orders end.
  • Month-to-month, new listing declined -26.1%; typically, new listings rise 9.2% in April compared to March.
  • New pending sales endured their sharpest year-over-year drop in a decade.
  • This was the weakest April performance and sharpest March to April decline (-24.4%) in the last ten years.