Pending Home Sales Notch Record-Setting 44.3% Monthly Increase in May

A Historic Rebound for the Housing Market

A Historic Rebound for the Housing Market | MyKCM

Pending Home Sales increased by 44.3% in May, registering the highest month-over-month gain in the index since the National Association of Realtors (NAR) started tracking this metric in January 2001. So, what exactly are pending home sales, and why is this rebound so important?

According to NAR, the Pending Home Sales Index (PHS) is:

“A leading indicator of housing activity, measures housing contract activity, and is based on signed real estate contracts for existing single-family homes, condos, and co-ops. Because a home goes under contract a month or two before it is sold, the Pending Home Sales Index generally leads Existing-Home Sales by a month or two.”

In real estate, pending home sales is a key indicator in determining the strength of the housing market. As mentioned before, it measures how many existing homes went into contract in a specific month. When a buyer goes through the steps to purchase a home, the final one is the closing. On average, that happens about two months after the contract is signed, depending on how fast or slow the process takes in each state.

Why is this rebound important?

A Historic Rebound for the Housing Market | MyKCM

With the COVID-19 pandemic and a shutdown of the economy, we saw a steep two-month decline in the number of houses that went into contract. In May, however, that number increased dramatically (See graph below):This jump means buyers are back in the market and purchasing homes right now. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR mentioned:

“This has been a spectacular recovery for contract signings and goes to show the resiliency of American consumers and their evergreen desire for homeownership…This bounce back also speaks to how the housing sector could lead the way for a broader economic recovery.”

But in order to continue with this trend, we need more houses for sale on the market. Yun continues to say:

“More listings are continuously appearing as the economy reopens, helping with inventory choices…Still, more home construction is needed to counter the persistent underproduction of homes over the past decade.”

A Historic Rebound for the Housing Market | MyKCM

As we move through the year, we’ll see an increase in the number of houses being built. This will help combat a small portion of the inventory deficit. The lack of overall inventory, however, is still a challenge, and it is creating an opportunity for homeowners who are ready to sell. As the graph below shows, during the last 12 months, the supply of homes for sale has been decreasing year-over-year and is not keeping up with the demand from homebuyers.

Bottom Line

If you decided not to sell this spring due to the health crisis, maybe it’s time to jump back into the market while buyers are actively looking for homes. Let’s connect today to determine your best move forward.


For Those Sellers and Buyers On The Fence

Inman News Latest Market & Economy Report

Homesnap found that American homeowners will spend an average of 25.1% of their monthly income on their housing while renters will spend 37.9%

Despite high home prices, putting off a purchase to wait for a better deal may not be the best idea after all. Long-term, owning is more affordable than renting almost anywhere in the country, according to a new report released by home search platform Homesnap.

Looking at factors like the average monthly wages, monthly rents, monthly rental insurance payments and median home values, Homesnap has found that owning is more affordable than renting in 94.39 percent of cities in the United States.

*Real estate industry professionals from around the world turn to Inman first for accurate, innovative and timely information about the business. Known for its award-winning journalism, cutting-edge technology coverage, in-depth educational opportunities, and forward-thinking events, Inman is the industry’s leading source of real estate information.


FAQ: Is It A Good Time To Sell My House?

The current real estate environment poses a great opportunity for sellers and buyers. Timing couldn’t be better for both.

  • Demand for housing is high
  • Supply/Inventory is low, below what experts consider balanced
  • Interest rates are historically low

In this market sellers earn top value for their home and buyers experience greater buying power and increased affordability.

Interest Rates Over Time [INFOGRAPHIC] | MyKCM

Some Highlights:

  • The Mid Atlantic Region to include DC, VA, MD, parts of WV, PA and DE housing Months of Supply is 2, well below the 4 to 6 months which is generally considered a balanced market.
  • The impact your interest rate has on your monthly mortgage payment is significant. An increase of just $20 dollars in your monthly payment can add up to $240 per year or $7,200 over the life of your loan. Maybe it’s time to lock in now while rates are still low.
  • How can you take advantage of this market? Don’t wait and see, connect with a RE professional and make a plan.

Where Is The Housing Market Headed in 2020?

  • Some Highlights:

  • Interest rates will be lower than they have been since before 1980 at 3.8% and are projected to remain steady throughout 2020!

  • According to CoreLogic, home prices will appreciate at a rate of 5.4% over the course of the year.

  • Experts predict that the number of homes sold next year will be equal to or outpace 2019.
2020 Outlook – Positive

2019 in REview

By providing market knowledge and experience that lets clients break down the process step by step, we make their experience a positive and exciting one. A metric for Laurel Murphy Real Estate to gauge whether we are achieving our goal is the percent of business we do from referrals or repeat business. 

In our first full year we serviced 50% sellers and 50% buyers with 85% from referrals or repeat clients. Helping family and friends of past clients is a responsibility we appreciate and take seriously.  Going into 2020 we have every intention to increase our numbers, one referral at a time.