Millennials In The Lead for Home Purchases, More Than Half Of All Home Purchase Applications


According to the CoreLogic Loan Application Database[1], prior to 2020, while millennial home purchase applications comprised less than half of all purchase applications, their share grew from 33% in 2014 to 47% in 2019, rising about 2 to 4 percentage points per year. This annual increase is consistent with the cohort of millennials reaching 33 years of age, the peak homebuying age.

But in 2020, the share of millennials in the homebuying market soared 7 percentage points in 2020, reaching 54% of all purchase applications (Figure 1). And while half of the increase is consistent with the natural growth rate seen since 2014, the additional half of the 2020 jump was likely driven by the pandemic. In other words, the increase was accelerated by record low mortgage interest rate and flexibility to work remotely.

Figure 2 shows U.S. population distribution by age, highlighting the largest demographic cohort reaching the peak age of FTHB on the left axis. The right axis of the chart, displayed by the green line, represents first-time home-purchase loan applications per 1,000 persons in 2020.

Younger millennials below 30 have yet to enter homeownership, so demand from millennials is likely to remain strong over the coming years. At the same time, more older millennials are likely to transition to repeat homebuyers. The share of millennial repeat buyer home-purchase applications was already 35% in 2020, just 4 percentage points lower than Gen X’ share.


Crazy Market Or Not, The Same Fundamentals Of Selling Real Estate Apply

The sale of S506 serves as another testament that selling with a plan in place is the best way too close for the most money within the specific markets current days on market.

It took just over a month from my first meeting with the owner, to customize a plan detailing how to make the unit market ready, complete the pre-listing items identified, list the property on the MLS, hold an Open House and ratify an offer. Success takes a team effort and effective, constant communications. My clients did an awesome job. Congratulations!

Days On Market: 5, average for the building 28



The Need For More Inventory Has Never Been More Apparent

Based on compiled data from more than six million property showings scheduled across the country, Home Buyer Demand jumps 98.4% in the West as traffic grows again nationwide.

  • March 24, 2021 – Dwindling inventory was again met with an outpouring of buyer demand throughout the country in February as an unprecedented 75 markets reported double-digit growth, according to the ShowingTime Showing Index®
  • Nationwide, buyer traffic jumped 49.5 percent, continuing a trend of national year-over-year growth in buyer demand that began in May 2020.
  • “In March and April, year-over-year comparisons will be less meaningful as the onset of COVID-19 in 2020 drove showing traffic down in those two months, but on a month-to-month basis we’re still likely to see further seasonal increases in demand, taking us further into this unprecedented direction. We expect that this will correlate with continued broad increases in prices.”


Americans have saved $1.6 trillion since the pandemic began.

Where To Spend All That Savings | An Opportunity To Build Wealth

  • Americans have saved $1.6 trillion since the pandemic started, per the Commerce Department.

  • That’s roughly half of overall global savings during the pandemic, and the same as South Korea’s GDP.

  • It’s also greater than the output gap, or economic hole created by Covid-19, signaling a coming economic boom.

Experts are currently projecting 4.6% growth for US GDP this year, per Bloomberg. If Americans spend all the money they saved in the past year, that could jump to 9%; whereas if they don’t, the GDP forecast could drop to 2.2%.

It’s why so many economists are predicting that lockdown lifting will see the biggest boomtime in a generation, potentially ushering in a new era in the US economy.

*Read full Insider article


Happy Anniversary | How Much Is My House Worth Today?

Congratulations Kevin and Danielle! Happy Anniversary to my clients who closed on this day March 4th, 2016 in Springfield, VA.

Located in the Glenwood Manor development, the couple purchased a 1700 sqft., 3 bedroom, 2.5 bath townhome for $379,000. 5 years later, for similar properties (any three bedrooms sold in the last 365 days), the median Close Price was $478,500 and the median Days On Market was 5. 

The decision to purchase instead of renting positioned them nicely to build equity that they now can utilize for their next move.

If you have been debating owning versus renting, understanding the market and how either decision could effect you in 3-5 years is worth discussing.

  • This information is not meant to be used as an appraisal. This is a snapshot of the Glenwood Manor development listings sold in the last 365 days as of March 4, 2021.


‘Peculiar’ Economy to Stabilize in Second Half of 2021?

Leading economists say the labor, housing, and stock markets will reach crucial markers that will indicate the recovery’s progress. From NAR’s virtual Real Estate Forecast Summit, Dec. 10

Housing Market

The housing market has been a bright spot this year, though inventory is a challenge.  The problem, Berson says, isn’t just homebuilding and permitting but also getting prospective sellers to put their homes on the market. “Hopefully, people will feel good about strangers coming into their home once there’s a vaccine,” he said.  – Realtor Magazine

Click the link for more, source: ‘Peculiar’ Economy to Stabilize in Second Half of 2021?

CoreLogic – Three-Year Housing and Mortgage Outlook

  • 30-year fixed-rate loans to remain below 3% during early 2021 and average about 3.2% during the next three years.
  • Millennials will add substantial demand for housing over the next few years.
  • Home prices projected to rise in most metro areas, albeit slower than in recent years.

2020 was a truly unprecedented year. With it behind us, let’s look ahead at three housing market trends that are likely during the next three years.

Figure 1: Mortgage Rates Are Forecast to Remain Low

First, exceptionally low mortgage rates are likely to be around for an extended period. We expect 30-year fixed-rate loans to remain below 3% during early 2021 and average about 3.2% during the next three years. This would be nearly a percentage point lower than the average over the 2010-2019 decade. These low rates will provide an excellent opportunity for families with good credit to buy or refinance homes.

Figure 2: Large Demographic Tailwind Has Arrived

Second, Millennials will add substantial demand for housing over the next few years. Looking at America’s population by age, the largest numbers of Millennials are those aged 28 to 30. With 33 as the median age of recent first-time buyers, demographic forces will add an important tailwind to home-buying demand. In fact, we expect home sales relative to the housing stock, a measure of home “turnover”, in 2021 to 2023 to be above the average annual turnover rate of the prior two decades.

Figure 3: Home Price Forecast to Rise Slower than Last Decade

Third, we expect home prices to rise in most neighborhoods, albeit at a more modest pace than in recent years. Price appreciation is expected to average 2.5% per year during the next three years, compared with 4.8% per year during the prior decade. One reason for slower value growth is because we expect for-sale inventory will increase. 2020’s pandemic delayed new construction and led many prospective sellers to postpone listings. Once the coronavirus dissipates or a vaccine is widely available, we expect to see the number of new and existing homes listed for sale to rise, helping to ease price appreciation. One caveat: while we predict most communities will see gradual price growth, some metros that have been especially hard hit by the pandemic recession will likely have price declines.

Low mortgage rates, growing numbers of first-time buyers, and gradually rising home values are three housing market trends we expect during the next three years.
© 2020 CoreLogic, Inc. All rights reserved.


START TO FINISH – 406 DAYS, SO MANY GREAT THINGS HAVE COME WITH TIME AND PATIENCE

No it’s not the pandemic; there we can only follow safety precautions and hope.

Rather it’s one of my clients’ timeline to Sell and Buy during 2020. How did they go from a home of 9 yrs, with three school-aged children and two full time working parents into a new build that will suit their family for the next 20+ years during an unimaginable world wide pandemic? One step at a time.


We first connected on October 20, 2019. From there, we developed an individual step by step plan of ‘how to’ execute their real estate goals.
Following that plan led them to identifying the location, negotiating with the builder of their new home, and ratifying on Jan 1, 2020.
Coordinating with the builder, designers, lender and title resulted in closing on October 2, 2020, three months behind schedule due to pandemic related delays.

Then it was time to list their home of 9 years.

Despite being three months behind our original timeline, we referred back to the step by step plan we had created.
Without skipping a beat, my clients stuck to the plan and completed everything we had discussed to get the house ready for market.
We listed on a Thursday, ratified 5 days later on that Monday and closed in 21 days on November 30, 2020.